The Jets missed the chance to add a second-round pick in the NFL draft in 2024.
In the 2024 NFL Draft, the New York Jets were selected with the tenth overall pick. Many Jets supporters had hoped for a trade back before the draft to enable them to recover the second round pick they had previously given up to get quarterback Aaron Rodgers.
The Jets did, as luck would have it, trade back in the opening round. They only went from pick 10 to pick 11, though, and as a result, the Jets added a sixth round pick and the Minnesota Vikings gave them a fourth and fifth round selection. This is not at all what many had hoped for in a second-round pick.
The Jets were reportedly presented with a much larger trade package for the 10th overall pick, but they turned it down, according to recent video from the Los Angeles draft room.
I ❤️ THE BEHIND THE SCENES FOOTAGE: The Los Angeles #Rams were trying to trade up with the New York #Jets during the #NFLDraft.
Many suspected them really wanting to select TE Brock Bowers. So cool to see what happens behind the scenes. #NFL pic.twitter.com/yOpxqncPJK
— 49ers & NFL News 24/7 (@49ersSportsTalk) June 14, 2024
The Jets were offered the 19th and 52nd overall picks by the Los Angeles Rams in exchange for the 10th overall pick, as can be seen in the video above. It is possible that the Jets obtained these picks for the 11th overall pick after the original trade was finalized, given that the Rams also contemplated trading up to the 11th overall pick when the Vikings had that pick.
The New York Jets did not, in fact, make that trade. But ought they to have? Well, the answer might change based on the trade charts.
In particular, the Jimmy Johnson trade chart values the 10th overall pick at 1300, using Drafttek values. In contrast, on this same chart, the 19th overall pick is worth 875, and the 52nd overall pick is only 380, meaning that the total value of these two picks is just 1255. As a result, in this case, the Jimmy Johnson draft pick trading model would advise against dealing between 10 and 19. But since the 11th overall pick is valued at 1250, if they could have gone from 11 to 19, the trade would have been practically an even swap.
In contrast, utilizing the Rich Hill trade table and valuations from Drafttek, the 10th overall pick is valued at 369. In contrast, the total value of the 19th and 52nd picks—worth 278 and 109, respectively—is 387, which would again be nearly an even trade. Although the 11th overall pick’s worth is slightly lower at 358, overall, the choice is still basically the same, even though it would have made more sense to make the deal.
The Jets could have made this move and, in principle, been marginally better off, but the advantages would have been negligible anyway, based on the tables.
In actuality, though, accepting this deal would have probably cost the Jets offensive tackle Olu Fashanu, who they selected at pick number eleven, as he would not have been available at pick number nineteen. Personally, I would probably choose Fashanu, but I have no problem with anyone believing that the New York Jets should have chosen an alternate tackle, such Troy Fautanu, who was selected by the Pittsburgh Steelers at pick 20, instead of taking the little surplus value.
How do you feel? Had the Jets waited to select number 19?
Pingback: Washington Woes: Are the Commanders Stuck in Rebuild Mode While the Texans Take Flight? Sound Off!
Pingback: Dak vs. $150M Mystery QB: Who Starts for the Cowboys?